育肥肉牛 技术分析 - 育肥肉牛 交易: 2021-01-15


Higher corn prices bearish for FCATTLE

技术分析总结 育肥牛: 卖出

指标信号
RSI中和
MACD卖出
Donchian Channel卖出
MA(200)卖出
Fractals卖出
Parabolic SAR卖出

图表分析

On the daily timeframe #C-FCATTLE: D1 has breached below the 200-day moving average MA(200), which has leveled off. We believe the bearish momentum will continue after the price breaches below the lower Donchian boundary at 132.51. This level can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to sell. The stop loss can be placed above 140.48. After placing the pending order the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal high indicator, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop-loss level (140.48) without reaching the order (132.51) we recommend cancelling the order: the market sustains internal changes which were not taken into account.

基本面分析 -

Rising corn prices make cattle raising more expensive as feeding costs rise. Will the FCATTLE continue declining?

Corn prices have risen over 22% since the start of December, which makes feed more expensive for raising cattle. Particularly, mid-2020 estimates indicate each $0.10 increase in corn price results in an increase in feeding cost of gain (total cost to feed your cattle divided by the total pounds gained) of around $0.87 per 100 pounds in US. Rising feeding cost makes feeding cattle more expensive which is bearish for FCATTLE. On the other hand, meat shipments to China, world’s biggest consumer of meat, were up 60.4% over year in 2020. China’s demand for meat was boosted after a plunge in its pork output. Continued higher Chinese meet imports are an upward risk for FCATTLE.